Changelog

MEDIA EYE KNOWLEDGE BASE (70 → 1,091 KEYWORDS)

• + Wired media_eye_knowledge.py into Media Eye scoring engine — 15.6x keyword expansion
• + Merged 250 bullish news, 265 bearish news, 164 bullish verbs, 157 bearish verbs, 153 dovish phrases, 131 hawkish phrases
• + New keywords start at weight 0.5 — self-training adjusts based on actual predictive accuracy
• + DB-persisted keywords restored on reload, including previously unknown keywords from training

NEW KNOWLEDGE CATEGORIES (+367 ENTRIES)

• + Currency Revaluation Indicators (113) — devaluations, peg breaks, capital controls, FX crises, EM stress signals, IMF bailouts
• + Strategic Resource Dependencies (127) — OPEC dynamics, rare earth bans, lithium/cobalt, grain corridors, SPR, chokepoints (Hormuz, Suez, Red Sea)
• + Modern Sector Keywords (127) — AI/GPU/chips, energy transition, labor market (NFP, strikes), housing, supply chain, China-specific (PBOC, yuan), modern crypto (restaking, RWA, ETF flows)
• + Knowledge base total: 4,199 → 4,566 entries

REAL-NEWS TRAINING (REPLACES PRICE PROXY)

• + New train_on_news_items() — matches keywords in real headlines against actual forward price returns
• + Individual keyword scoring: each keyword tracked by whether its presence predicted the right direction
• + Trains on 5,900+ accumulated news articles from Dec 2023 to present across all asset classes
• × Removed price-proxy training from championship arena — was scoring all keywords identically per bar, not learning real signal
• + Standalone Media Eye training cycle: every 50 cycles (~50 min), background thread

CROSS-SOURCE CONFIRMATION

• + Trigram-based article clustering groups headlines about the same event from different sources
• + Multi-source events (2+ sources within 2h window) get 2x sentiment weight
• + Single-source events get 0.5x weight — unconfirmed news is dampened, not amplified
• + Returns confirmed_events / single_source_events counts for observability

UPDATED SCHEDULE

• ▲ Trading Loop: every 60s (main thread)
• ▲ Strategy Replay: cycle%4==2 (~4 min)
• ▲ Evolution: cycle%8==0 (~8 min, 3 parallel threads)
• ▲ Shadow Backfill: cycle%20==0 (~20 min)
• + Media Eye Training: cycle%50==25 (~50 min, background thread)
• ▲ Auto-Retest: cycle%100==0 (~1.7h)
• ▲ Championship Arena: cycle%200==100 (~3.3h, background thread, now with real-news training)

REGIME STABILITY HARDENING

• + Regime stability gate — new regime must hold 4 bars at ≥70% confidence before agent acts on it
• + Crash instant-confirm — Crash at ≥85% confidence bypasses the gate (safety first)
• + Minimum position hold — HMM cannot force-exit positions held fewer than 3 bars
• + Cross-AC crash consensus — if ANY asset class is in confirmed Crash, ALL entries blocked
• + Drawdown recovery — waits for regime stabilization instead of blind 5-minute timer

PARALLEL EVOLUTION ENGINE

• + All asset class evolutions now run concurrently on ThreadPoolExecutor (3 threads)
• + ~2x wall-clock speedup (was serial stock→crypto→forex, now parallel)
• + Global yfinance data cache — eliminates re-downloads across evolution cycles
• + Thread-safe library saves with merge-on-write to prevent data loss

ENRICHED TRADE METADATA

• + Every trade now records: regime name, confidence, confirmed status, news sentiment, position age, equity, drawdown %
• + Every signal now records: regime name, confidence, news sentiment, article count
• + 7 new columns on trades table, 4 new columns on signals table
• + Foundation for future Transformer / ML training on high-quality feature vectors

AUTOMATED STRATEGY REPLAY + CHAMPIONSHIP

• + Strategy replay: top library strategies replayed against last 30 days of real data during idle cycles
• + Results stored in strategy_replays table for memory integration
• + Championship arena auto-scheduled every ~3.3 hours (background thread)
• + New automation status bar on Research tab showing replay/arena/evolution state

INFRASTRUCTURE

• ▲ VPS upgraded to 4 vCPU / 8GB RAM / 75GB NVMe
• ▲ Cash persistence — agent_cash saved after every trade, recovery prefers it over stale snapshots
• ▲ SQLite busy_timeout 5s → 30s + exponential backoff retries on auth writes
• × Fixed $42K equity loss from server restart losing in-memory cash state
• × Fixed equity overwrite on restart when positions empty after drawdown halt

6-PHASE GRADUATION LADDER

• + Master Agent maturity system: Observer → Acolyte → Apprentice → Shadow Apprentice → Scholar → Master Alchemist
• + Per-phase conviction caps, suggestion gating, and auto-apply controls
• + Manual-only promotion — no automatic graduation, human decides
• + Full graduation log with timestamp, from/to phase, and reason
• + New About page with MA identity, graduation ladder visualization, philosophy

SHADOW P&L TRACKING

• + Independent shadow ledger tracks every MA suggestion with hypothetical outcomes
• + Weekly snapshots: shadow P&L vs actual P&L with delta comparison
• + Activates at Phase 3 (Shadow Apprentice) — 1-2 month burn-in before tracking
• + 26-week minimum recommended before considering Master Alchemist promotion
• + Per-suggestion tracking: title, conviction, approved/rejected, individual outcome

FULL STRATEGY RETEST

• + Retest orchestrator: re-backtest ALL strategies (active, retired, shelved) against latest 2Y data
• + Fitness thresholds: Sharpe > 0.3, win rate > 35%, drawdown < -50%
• + Creates “generation zero” save point for clean baseline measurement
• + Progress tracking via /api/retest/progress with queued/passed/failed/error counts

DASHBOARD + NAVIGATION OVERHAUL

• ~ Unified nav bar across all pages via shared partial (nav.html)
• ~ Added equity + unrealized P&L to nav agent controls
• - Removed Master Agent widget from dashboard sidebar
• - Removed standalone Market Regime card from dashboard
• - Removed auto risk cycling from Accounts page
• - Removed redundant Hard Reset / Restore Session buttons
• ! Fixed black rectangle overlay bug (h-full + body::before z-index stacking)
• ! Fixed duplicate PST timezone badge
• + New /about page with MA identity card and graduation visualization
• + New /changelog route (previously unrouted)

NEW DB TABLES

• + graduation_log, shadow_suggestions, shadow_weekly_snapshots, retest_queue
• + New agent_settings keys: graduation_phase, graduation_phase_name, retest_status, shadow_tracking_active

MASTER AGENT DEBATE SYSTEM

• + Subagent debate audits every 12h — Master Agent debates Stocks, Crypto, Forex subagents
• + Structured positions (bull/bear cases) with evidence-based arguments
• + Verdict scoring with conviction levels and exposure bias recommendations
• + Automated lesson extraction for self-training
• + 3 new DB tables: debate_sessions, forecast_snapshots, debate_lessons

ENSEMBLE FORECASTING

• + 3-signal ensemble: HMM regime (50%), strategy momentum (30%), macro sentiment (20%)
• + Per-asset-class directional forecasts with confidence scoring
• + Self-tuning weights — accuracy-based adjustment from outcome backfilling
• + Lesson decay system prevents stale insights from influencing decisions

LIVE MARKET INDEX CHARTS

• + Real-time NASDAQ, S&P 500, DJIA intraday charts (yfinance, 5-min intervals)
• + Side-by-side MA projection charts with confidence bands
• + Interactive tooltips, toggleable indices, EST timezone
• + Prominent full-width dashboard section (core feature)

DASHBOARD IMPROVEMENTS

• ~ Master Agent widget redesigned: tabs replaced with collapsible accordion
• ~ Removed horizontal scrollbar issue from widget navigation
• + DEBATE section in accordion showing per-asset verdicts and bias bars
• + New API endpoints: /api/market-indices, /api/master-agent/index-projections, /api/master-agent/debates, /api/master-agent/forecast-history, /api/master-agent/lessons

MASTER AGENT

• + 1,980-line MasterAgent class with 5 oversight modules
• + Scheduled tasks: macro monitor (4h), attribution (24h), health (6h), diagnostics (2h), suggestions (6h)
• + 3-tier audit schedule (Mon/Wed/Fri)
• + Suggestion engine with safe-apply actions (risk level, macro influence, retrain interval)
• + Dashboard widget with 5 tabs: MACRO, HEALTH, P&L, SYSTEM, SUGGEST

METRICS AUDIT

• ! Fixed 6 metric discrepancies: RETURN, WIN RATE, PROFIT FACTOR, TRADES, SHARPE/MAX DD, risk bar drawdown
• ~ All metrics now use paper_capital baseline and mode-filtered snapshots
• ~ Risk bar drawdown corrected from total return to peak drawdown

• + Live trading dashboard at trading.cytrader.ai (FastAPI + Jinja2 + HTMX + Tailwind)
• + HMM regime detection with 6-stage confidence pipeline and 7 market regimes
• + Real-time metrics: net worth, return, Sharpe, max DD, win rate, profit factor
• + Multi-asset market ticker (stocks, crypto, forex, options, cash)
• + Waitlist system with confirmation emails via cy.sup@cytrader.ai
• + Admin waitlist widget with mass email broadcast
• + OANDA V20 forex integration

• + Karpathy-inspired genetic strategy evolution engine
• + Walk-forward backtesting across 80+ symbols
• + Multi-asset support: stocks (Alpaca), crypto (CCXT), forex (OANDA)
• + Risk profiles: Conservative, Balanced, Aggressive
• + Landing page with live stats and waitlist
• + VPS deployment (Vultr) with nginx reverse proxy